Do it on the amount of water in the tank, not the amount the tank holds. Most heaters tell you on them how much water they heat. However, I don't think you'll need a heater. The heat light normally takes care of that, too - especially in such a small tank. Doesn't take much to heat 15 gallons of water.
I wish i could help, i recently got a heater for my 10 gallon but i threw away the papers and box it was in and it doesnt show the watts on the heater itself so i cant help you, sorry
What kind of turtle do u have?